Index reveals more on flagging US house prices

Rising mortgage-interest rates cause US home price appreciation to decline for a fifth month in a row

Index reveals more on flagging US house prices

Home price appreciation fell for the fifth month in a row in November, according to the results of the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices.

The National Home Price NSA Index, which covers all 9 US Census divisions, reported a 7.7% annual gain in November. That was down from the 10.7% annual increase posted in October.

The 10-city index dropped from 8% in October to 6.3% in November,  and the 20-city composite index was down to 6.8% from 8.6% in the previous month.

“As the Federal Reserve moves interest rates higher, mortgage financing continues to be a headwind for home prices,” said Craig Lazzara, managing director and global head of index investment strategy at S&P Dow Jones Indices.

The highest year-over-year gains were in Miami (18.4%), Tampa (16.9%), and Atlanta (12.7%).  All 20 cities reported lower price increases in the year ending November 2022 versus the year ending October 2022. 

Before seasonal adjustment, the National Index reported a month-over-month decrease of 0.6% in November. The 10-City and 20-City composite indexes posted decreases of 0.7% and 0.8%, respectively.

After seasonal adjustment, the index reported a 0.3% decrease, while both city composites reported a 0.5% decrease.

“Economic weakness, including the possibility of a recession, would also constrain potential buyers. Given these prospects for a challenging macroeconomic environment, home prices may well continue to weaken,” said Lazzara.