A record median price and shrinking listings are shutting out the buyers who need relief most
The median US home-sale price rose 2.2% year over year to $408,776 in June, an all-time high, as demand from high-income buyers overwhelmed a thinning pool of available homes, according to a Redfin report released Monday.
Existing home sales climbed 4.2% from a year earlier to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of roughly 4.4 million, the highest level since November 2022.
Pending sales rose 4.5% year over year, reaching their strongest reading since 2023, excluding April.
Coastal wealth drives the records
The gains were concentrated at the top end of the market. San Francisco's median home-sale price rose 9.2% year over year, the biggest increase among major US metros tracked by Redfin, followed by Pittsburgh at 9.1% and West Palm Beach, Fla., at 8.6%.
Closed home sales surged roughly 23% year over year in both San Francisco and West Palm Beach. That is consistent with the broader trend of luxury sales driving overall price growth across the country's most populous metros, a pattern Redfin identified in a separate analysis released in late June.
The forces behind each market differ. In San Francisco, the AI boom is channeling tech-worker salaries and bonuses into high-end residential purchases.
In South Florida, migration of the ultra-wealthy, drawn by the state's tax environment and coastal lifestyle, continues to lift prices and close sales.
Redfin agents in Boston and Nashville also flagged high-income buyers as key drivers.
"High-end buyers are driving demand and prices in much of the country," said Chen Zhao, Redfin's head of economics research.
"There's a pool of higher-income buyers who are purchasing seven-figure homes, but a lot of first-time and average move-up buyers are priced out as mortgage rates stay near 6.5%, making monthly payments challenging."
June's average 30-year fixed mortgage rate stood at 6.49%, up slightly from May, according to Redfin. With rates expected to hold in the mid-6% range through the rest of 2026, the only meaningful affordability relief is the wage-price gap: US wages grew roughly 3.5% versus home price growth of 2.2%, per Redfin.
| Metro | Change |
|---|---|
| San Francisco, CA top | +9.2% |
| Pittsburgh, PA | +9.1% |
| West Palm Beach, FL | +8.6% |
| Portland, OR | −1.8% |
| San Jose, CA | −3.9% |
| Seattle, WA bottom | −4.9% |
| Metro | Change |
|---|---|
| San Francisco, CA top | +16.4% |
| Austin, TX | +13.2% |
| West Palm Beach, FL | +13.0% |
| Denver, CO | −3.1% |
| Houston, TX | −10.5% |
| Seattle, WA bottom | −10.8% |
| Metro | Change |
|---|---|
| West Palm Beach, FL top | +23.8% |
| San Francisco, CA | +23.1% |
| San Diego, CA | +12.8% |
| Atlanta, GA | −3.7% |
| Seattle, WA | −5.9% |
| Philadelphia, PA bottom | −6.8% |
Source: Redfin, June 2026. Based on 50 most populous US metro areas. All figures year over year.
Competition climbs as new listings fall
Stronger demand is tightening the market for those who can participate. In June, 22.2% of US homes sold for above their original list price – the highest share in over a year on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Redfin.
New listings fell roughly 1% month over month to their lowest level since December, as sellers in buyer-heavy markets held back, waiting for conditions to rebalance.
Matt Gouge, mortgage broker and founding partner at UMortgage, told Mortgage Professional America in an earlier interview that buyers need to recalibrate expectations around their first purchase.
"They have to start thinking about housing, especially their first house, as a stepping stone, not a forever home," Gouge said.
The data arrives following existing-home sales hitting their highest level since December 2025 just weeks earlier, a positive streak that, combined with June's record price, presents brokers with a market of genuine momentum and equally genuine access barriers.
| Metro | Change |
|---|---|
| Philadelphia, PA top | +16.7% |
| Anaheim, CA | +15.0% |
| St. Louis, MO | +13.0% |
| Jacksonville, FL | −5.5% |
| Fort Worth, TX | −6.2% |
| Dallas, TX bottom | −6.5% |
| Metro | Change |
|---|---|
| Cincinnati, OH top | +15.0% |
| Boston, MA | +14.1% |
| St. Louis, MO | +13.3% |
| Miami, FL | −13.5% |
| San Francisco, CA | −15.7% |
| Jacksonville, FL bottom | −16.6% |
| Metro | Typical days | YoY change |
|---|---|---|
| West Palm Beach, FL fastest | 81 | −8 days |
| Jacksonville, FL | — | −7 days |
| Newark, NJ | — | −7 days |
| Las Vegas, NV | — | +8 days |
| Nashville, TN | — | +8 days |
| Seattle, WA slowest | — | +9 days |
Source: Redfin, June 2026. Based on 50 most populous US metro areas. All figures year over year. Days on market reflects homes that went under contract.
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