Are US home prices still going up?

CoreLogic releases latest home price data and forecast

Are US home prices still going up?

Annual home price growth accelerated to a 2.5% pace in July after two months of lower gains, CoreLogic’s Home Price Index (HPI) report revealed.

According to CoreLogic, the rebound reflects six consecutive monthly gains, pushing prices about 5% higher than the February bottom. Month over month, home prices increased by 0.4% from June.

“Annual home price growth regained momentum in July, which mostly reflects strong appreciation from earlier this year,” said Selma Hepp, chief economist at CoreLogic. “That said, high mortgage rates have slowed additional price surges, with monthly increases returning to regular seasonal averages. In other words, home prices are still growing but are in line with historic seasonal expectations.”

Vermont registered the year-over-year growth (8.5%) in July, followed by New Hampshire and New Jersey (both 7.3%). However, 11 states posted annual home price losses due to inventory shortages: Idaho (-5.7%), Nevada (-4.2%), Montana (-3.6%), Washington (-3.3%), Arizona (-2.9%), Utah (-2.8%), Oregon (-1.2%), Colorado (-0.6%), Texas (-0.6%), Wyoming (-0.5%) and California (-0.3%).

The report forecasted a 3.5% increase in annual home prices by July 2024. CoreLogic also expects all states that saw losses in July will start recovering by October this year as buyer competition heats up prices again.

“Nevertheless, the projection of prolonged higher mortgage rates has dampened price forecasts over the next year, particularly in less-affordable markets,” Hepp said. “But as there is still an extreme inventory shortage in the Western US, home prices in some of those markets should see relatively more upward pressure.”

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