Strong labor market offset weaker homebuying power says FirstAm

Chief economist reacts to labor market report

Strong labor market offset weaker homebuying power says FirstAm

The addition of 134,000 jobs in September and the reduction in the unemployment rate to 3.7% is good news for the housing market, despite coming in weaker than had been expected.

For homebuyers, a rise in average wage growth of almost 3%, helps to offset the rise in mortgage rates which has weakened affordability.

First American chief economist Mark Fleming calculates that an estimated 2.9% annual rise in household income makes a big difference to homebuying power.

“In September, consumer house-buying power declined by $28,000, 7.4%, compared to a year ago. If household income had not increased compared to a year ago, the increase in mortgage rates would have reduced consumer house-buying power by $38,000. Rising household income offset the impact of higher cost mortgages by $10,000,” he said.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics data also shows that there were 23,000 more construction workers in the month with a 315,000 increase over the past 12 months; although the stats do not break down how many of these are in home construction.