UK’s economic growth revised downwards

The ONS blamed the revision on the transport and communications and business services and finance sectors.

The annual figure for 2011 growth has also been revised down to 0.7% from 0.8%.

It also revised the GDP figure for the three months from April to June 2011 downwards from no change to a 0.1% contraction.

Analysts expect the economy to continue alternating between growth and contraction technically avoiding a recession.

The ONS found:

  • The volume of expenditure on goods and services grew by 0.4% in Q4 2011, the first positive growth since 2010 Q2, while in current prices, household expenditure increased by 1.2%.
  • Miscellaneous Goods and Services (which includes spending on financial services and insurance) made the largest contribution to growth, increasing by £762m between Q3 and Q4 2011.
  • The largest fall came from ‘Housing’ (which includes expenditure on fuels and rental charges) which decreased by £525m between Q3 and Q4.
  • In Q4 2011 the amount of food and non alcoholic beverages households bought fell by 0.9%. Volume spending per head on food and non alcoholic drink is now 11.8% lower than in Q1 2008, before the recession hit.
  • Household spending rose by 2.8% in 2011 as a whole. However, because of high inflation, the value of goods and services purchased actually fell by 1.2% to the same level as in 2009.