Five year fixes to fall below 4 per cent

The latest John Charcol Mortgage Index confirms the declining popularity of fixed rates, with 41.0% of clients choosing a fixed rate in April, down from 50.5% in March and 56.1% in February.

Commenting, Ray Boulger, senior technical manager at John Charcol, said: "So far this year we have sold twice as many 5 year fixed rates as 2 year fixed, although lenders generally have been putting most of their fixed rate promotional activity on the 2 year market, presumably because the headline rates are more eye catching.

“The rationale for taking a longer term view is that for clients who want the security of a fixed rate, and assuming a 5 year early repayment charge period (ERC) is acceptable, 2 year fixes only offer security during the period when it is least needed and if rates rise during that period it is only likely to be possible to re-fix at a higher rate after 2 years.

"For some clients, of course, low payments for the initial period is the top priority, but the shorter the timeframe being considered the less risk there is of significant rate rises and hence for clients in this category there is often a strong case for choosing a variable rate, either a tracker or a discount off SVR, to take advantage of the lower rates initially offered by such mortgages.

“With an increasing number of lenders now offering a droplock option, a term invented by John Charcol over 10 years ago, coupled with some deals available with no, or low, ERCs, this is often an attractive option for our clients who want to keep open the option to switch to a fixed rate if and when it looks attractive to do so.

"Fixed rate pricing is indeed now falling, on the back of lower gilt yields and swap rates. 5 year swaps have fallen back to 2.57% and at this level have retraced almost half of the increase from their all time low of 1.99% hit at the end of October last year.

“Consequently we expect to see more lenders joining Chelsea BS with sub 4% 5 year fixed rates, which is likely to arrest the trend away from fixed rates."