CML comment on Bank of England July lending data

This was a 50% increase from a year ago when the housing and mortgage market was in a sharp downturn, but compares to a monthly average of 104,000 in the 10 years to the end of 2007.

The negative net lending figure in July (-£418 million) is in line with our forecast for -£5 billion in net lending in 2009. We are also forecasting gross lending to total £145 billion in 2009.

CML economist Paul Samter said: "Activity still remains weak, but has improved from the historic low levels of turnover at the beginning of the year. We expect volatility in net lending levels over the rest of the year and there may be other months in which negative net lending occurs as the recovery is likely to be sporadic and shaky at first.

"Overall however, the figures are consistent with our view of a slowly improving house purchase market, yet still constrained by a lack of available funding and the fragile economic backdrop."