A report by Jim Parrott, senior fellow at the Urban Institute, and Mark Zandi, Moody’s Analystics chief economist, found that privatizing Fannie and Freddie could cause mortgage rates to spike by almost a full percentage point.
If the GSEs were privatized, the report states, they’d most likely have to increase their capitalization – which in turn would lead to higher costs that would be passed on to borrowers. Mortgage rates could jump by up to 97 basis points – in addition to other costs, ultimately borne by borrowers – that would come with privatization. Higher-risk borrowers would see their rates jump even more.
“(Fannie and Freddie) would need to hold more capital against riskier loans than others, forcing them to either increase mortgage rates more for those borrowers or lend less to them,” Parrott and Zandi wrote. “Either way, the range of averages understates the ultimate impact on pricing for many of the low-income borrowers most affected by price increases.”
Fannie and Freddie were placed into government conservatorship in 2008 after teetering on the brink of collapse. Under the terms of the conservatorship, the GSEs send all their quarterly profits to the Treasury. The company’s recent record profits have been a windfall for the Treasury – but that’s angered shareholders
who’ve been unable to realize their own profits.
Many frustrated shareholders in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac want the mortgage finance giants released from federal control, so they can reap the profits of their investments. But that might not be so great for the mortgage industry, according to a new study.