Home price gains continue to slow nationally

by MPA27 Jan 2015
Home prices are continuing their slowdown nationwide, but some cities are still experiencing signficiant price increases, according to data released this morning from the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices

Year-over-year
Both the 10-City and 20-City Composites saw year-over-year growth rates decline in November 2014 compared to October 2014. The 10-City Composite gained 4.2% year-over-year, down from 4.4% in October. The 20-City Composite gained 4.3% year-over-year, compared to 4.5% in October. The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, which covers all nine U.S. census divisions, recorded a 4.7% annual gain in November 2014 versus 4.6% in October 2014.

Miami and San Francisco continue to lead all cities, posting gains of 8.6% and 8.9% over the last 12 months. Nine cities, including Tampa, Atlanta, Charlotte and Portland, saw annual growth rates climb more than other cities in November. Year growth rates for Detroit and Miami dropped the most among all 20 cities.

Month-over-Month
The National and Composite Indices were both marginally negative in November. The 10 and 20-City Composites reported declines of -0.3% and -0.2%, while the National Index posted a decline of -0.1% for the month. Tampa led all cities in November with an increase of 0.8%. Chicago and Detroit offset those gains by reporting decreases of -1.1% and -0.9% respectively.

"With the spring home buying season, and spring training, still a month or two away, the housing recovery is barely on first base," David Blitzer, managing director and chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said. "Prospects for a home run in 2015 aren't good. Strong price gains are limited to California, Florida, the Pacific Northwest, Denver and Dallas. Most of the rest of the country is lagging the national index gains. Moreover, these price patterns have been in place since last spring. Existing home sales were lower in 2014 than 2013, confirming these trends."

"Difficulties facing the housing recovery include continued low inventory levels and stiff mortgage qualification standards. Distressed sales and investor purchases for buy-to-rent declined somewhat in the fourth quarter," he added. "The best hope for housing is the rest of the economy where the news is better. 2014 was a good year for job creation and weekly unemployment claims – good short term indicators – which continue to provide upbeat reports. Consumer confidence, helped by cheap gasoline prices, is strong, and a good GDP number is expected this week." 

 

November 2014

November/October

October/September

1-Year

Metro Area

Level

Change (%)

Change (%)

Change (%)

Atlanta

118.95

0.2%

-0.2%

4.9%

Boston

175.45

-0.2%

-0.5%

4.0%

Charlotte

128.25

-0.3%

-0.2%

3.3%

Chicago

128.37

-1.1%

-1.1%

2.0%

Cleveland

106.38

-0.3%

-0.7%

0.6%

Dallas

142.75

0.1%

0.1%

7.7%

Denver

157.39

0.1%

0.5%

7.5%

Detroit

97.16

-0.9%

-0.2%

2.6%

Las Vegas

137.85

0.3%

0.1%

7.7%

Los Angeles

225.77

0.3%

0.2%

5.1%

Miami

191.13

0.6%

0.4%

8.6%

Minneapolis

141.12

-0.7%

-0.3%

1.5%

New York

175.33

-0.8%

-0.5%

1.5%

Phoenix

147.67

0.2%

0.1%

1.9%

Portland

170.44

0.1%

-0.3%

6.6%

San Diego

203.66

0.3%

-0.1%

4.9%

San Francisco

196.24

0.1%

0.8%

8.9%

Seattle

169.79

-0.4%

-0.1%

6.0%

Tampa

165.18

0.8%

0.8%

6.8%

Washington

207.48

-0.5%

-0.4%

1.9%

Composite-10

187.71

-0.3%

-0.2%

4.2%

Composite-20

172.94

-0.2%

-0.1%

4.3%

U.S. National

167.00

-0.1%

-0.2%

4.7%

Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic
Data through November 2014

 

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